Ecologists have spent much of the last fifty years asking which of the following forces is driving the dynamics of food webs: top-down control by predation and herbivory or bottom-up control by nutrients and recruitment. I believe the question is not which forces drive food webs, but rather, what is the relative importance of each. Nor should these forces be viewed in isolation. We know, for example, that strong recruitment increases the importance of control by predation. Nutrient-rich plants increase herbivore growth rates.
Which of these players is more important for kelp forests: predation by lobsters or upwelling-driven nutrient inputs |
In my research, I am interested in applying multivariate statistical models to experiments and long-term datasets to disentangle the effects of these different drivers of food web dynamics. Over the past few years I have been working with the National Park Service's Channel Islands Kelp Forest Monitoring Program. Working with colleagues, we constructed models of food web dynamics based in the natural history of these forests. Applying Structural Equation Modeling to the data, we have shown that kelp forests are driven by a combination of nutrient inputs and predation. Moreover, the impact of nutrients are masked by outbreaks of sea urchins. And some sessile species respond to neither nutrients nor herbivory, but rather shape subtidal communities through competitive and physical interactions with the species around them. It's a complex beautiful system.
In the future, I want to apply this approach to examining how the strength of top-down and bottom-up forces change due to climate change, urbanization, and habitat fragmentation.
Relevant references
Byrnes, J.E., Bowles, C.M., Bracken, M.E.S., Ferner, M.C., Grace, J.B., Gruner, D.S., Hays, C.G., Kushner, D. J., Nickols, K.J., Ram, K, Sorte, C.J.B., Williams, S.L. In Revision. Top-down and bottom-up forces jointly control kelp forest communities in the California Channel Islands.
Yang, L.J., Edwards, K.E., Byrnes, J.E., Baston, J.L., Wright, A.N., and Spence, K.O. In Press. A meta-analysis of resource pulse-consumer interactions.
Ecological Monographs. 80: 125-151. [
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